Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.027487 0.029612 0.031746 0.034045 0.036451 0.038890 0.041548
2025-11-23 0.023208 0.026525 0.029979 0.033830 0.037989 0.042334 0.047202
2025-11-30 0.020539 0.024549 0.028839 0.033739 0.039153 0.044923 0.051509
2025-12-07 0.018195 0.022636 0.027504 0.033182 0.039574 0.046501 0.054528
2025-12-14 0.016189 0.020916 0.026212 0.032509 0.039718 0.047644 0.056948
2025-12-21 0.014461 0.019376 0.025001 0.031810 0.039725 0.048543 0.059013
2025-12-28 0.013753 0.018978 0.025058 0.032521 0.041300 0.051177 0.063008
2026-01-04 0.012802 0.018215 0.024627 0.032607 0.042107 0.052902 0.065942
2026-01-11 0.011865 0.017408 0.024088 0.032518 0.042669 0.054312 0.068489
2026-01-18 0.011408 0.017172 0.024217 0.033209 0.044136 0.056764 0.072237
2026-01-25 0.010617 0.016461 0.023721 0.033105 0.044625 0.058048 0.074611
2026-02-01 0.009949 0.015870 0.023344 0.033117 0.045232 0.059454 0.077115
2026-02-08 0.009214 0.015195 0.022879 0.033065 0.045826 0.060934 0.079825
2026-02-15 0.008443 0.014437 0.022289 0.032847 0.046223 0.062197 0.082316
2026-02-22 0.007792 0.013803 0.021824 0.032758 0.046755 0.063606 0.084969
2026-03-01 0.007027 0.012955 0.021035 0.032211 0.046682 0.064255 0.086689
2026-03-08 0.006289 0.012098 0.020188 0.031551 0.046433 0.064663 0.088097
2026-03-15 0.005608 0.011276 0.019350 0.030866 0.046120 0.064966 0.089357
2026-03-22 0.005420 0.011200 0.019546 0.031563 0.047587 0.067486 0.093340
2026-03-29 0.005058 0.010826 0.019302 0.031647 0.048249 0.068991 0.096074
2026-04-05 0.004673 0.010389 0.018945 0.031560 0.048672 0.070189 0.098424
2026-04-12 0.004528 0.010337 0.019145 0.032238 0.050104 0.072667 0.102372
2026-04-19 0.004183 0.009926 0.018795 0.032136 0.050491 0.073810 0.104654